56%
- Record
- 29–1
- Age
- 34
- Reach
- 70.5"
- Height
- 5'10"
- 3-round
- 16-1
- 5-round
- 13-0
- Home · Russia
- 6-0
- Road
- 23-1 · tonight
- In United States
- 5-1
Sheet pick
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
UFC pay-per-view · Sat, August 15, 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, United States
numberedfinal
Opened fight
Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry
44%
- Record
- 17–2
- Age
- 28
- Reach
- 74"
- Height
- 6'3"
- 3-round
- 13-0
- 5-round
- 4-2
- Home · Ireland
- 4-0
- Road
- 13-2 · tonight
- In United States
- 3-1
The Sheet
LockedFrozen Sat, Aug 15, 8:45 PM ET· tape Aug 15, 8:45 PM· DK Aug 15, 9:45 PM· ran Aug 29, 4:10 AM
Islam Makhachev
Islam Makhachev grades 56% at 5×5. Driven by grapple, form, finish pressure. Fade note: Garry still holds durability. Exact pick: Makhachev by submission. Over/under: Under 4.5 rounds. Neutral cage — both on the road.
- RedMakhachev on grapple — Takedown chain and submission threat
- BlueGarry on durability — How they lose
- BlueGarry on striking — Output × accuracy vs. defense
- RedMakhachev on form — Last five plus streak (R 10 / B 0)
56% winnerMakhachev by submissionUnder 4.5 roundsInside round 3
Locked MMAI pick for this fight. Tracked on The Book.
Factor split
- FormLast five plus streak (R 10 / B 0)
- Last 3 adj.Last 3: 3–0 · 0 ranked opp · pace vs those rooms · Last 3: 2–1 · 0 ranked opp · pace vs those rooms
- StrikingOutput × accuracy vs. defense
- GrappleTakedown chain and submission threat
- Finish pressureKO/sub rate applied to the matchup
- DurabilityHow they lose
- Five-roundRecord and average length at this distance
- StyleSambo vs Kickboxer
- CageReach, height, age curve
- Home / roadBoth on the road
- In United StatesMakhachev 5–1 in United States (6) · Garry 3–1 (4)
- Context1d rest / 1d rest · 30' cage
- Common opponentsNo shared UFC opponents
- Vs the numberFav/dog close + UFC over/under (R 10–1 fav, 0–0 dog · O 3/11)
Finish mix
- Makhachev sub31%
- Garry KO/TKO25%
- Makhachev dec15%
- Garry dec10%
- Makhachev KO/TKO9%
- Garry sub8%
DraftKings board · reference
close-15Public lines for context. MMAI is not a sportsbook and does not take bets.
Moneyline
Makhachev-320
Garry+250
Total rounds 4.5 · official O/U
Over 4.5-140
Under 4.5+110
Distance
Goes the distance-112
Inside the distance-172
Winning method
KO/TKO+156
Submission+295
Decision-116
Winner by method
Makhachev KO/TKO+550
Makhachev sub+240
Makhachev dec+140
Garry KO/TKO+700
Garry sub+1600
Garry dec+400
Fight ends in round
R1+531
R2+1071
R3+1071
R4+1071
R5+273
Winner Islam Makhachev · Exact Makhachev by submission +240 · O/U Under 4.5 rounds +110
Auto desk · X wire
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