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UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

UFC pay-per-view · Sat, September 19, 2026 · Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, United States

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Opened fight

Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja
Joshua VanvsAlexandre Pantoja

red corner

Joshua Van

“The Fearless” · Striker / Pressure

Myanmar · fights out of Houston, United States · Home cage

Home
52%
Record
17–2
Age
24
Reach
66"
Height
5'5"
3-round
14-2
5-round
3-0
Home · Myanmar
1-0 · tonight
Road
16-2
In United States
6-1

Sheet pick

blue corner

Alexandre Pantoja

“The Cannibal” · Jiu-Jitsu / Striker

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil · Road

48%
Record
30–6
Age
36
Reach
67"
Height
5'5"
3-round
22-4
5-round
8-2
Home · Brazil
10-1
Road
20-5 · tonight
In United States
8-1

The Sheet

Live21d 16h to lock· tape Aug 29, 12:00 PM· DK Aug 28, 4:00 PM· ran Aug 29, 3:06 AM

Joshua Van

Joshua Van grades 52% at 5×5. Driven by striking, form, last 3 adj.. Fade note: Pantoja still holds grapple. Exact pick: Van by KO/TKO. Over/under: Under 4.5 rounds. Neutral cage — both on the road.

  1. BluePantoja on grapple — Takedown chain and submission threat
  2. RedVan on striking — Output × accuracy vs. defense
  3. RedVan on form — Last five plus streak (R 6 / B 0)
  4. BluePantoja on finish pressure — KO/sub rate applied to the matchup
52% winnerVan by KO/TKOUnder 4.5 roundsInside round 3

Live lean from current tape. Recalculates until 15 minutes before this card. Tracked on The Book.

Factor split

  • FormLast five plus streak (R 6 / B 0)
  • Last 3 adj.Last 3: 3–0 · 0 ranked opp · pace vs those rooms · Last 3: 2–1 · 0 ranked opp · pace vs those rooms
  • StrikingOutput × accuracy vs. defense
  • GrappleTakedown chain and submission threat
  • Finish pressureKO/sub rate applied to the matchup
  • DurabilityHow they lose
  • Five-roundRecord and average length at this distance
  • StyleStriker vs Jiu-Jitsu
  • CageReach, height, age curve
  • Home / roadBoth on the road
  • In United StatesVan 6–1 in United States (7) · Pantoja 8–1 (9)
  • Context30' cage / Neutral context
  • Common opponentsNo shared UFC opponents
  • Vs the numberFav/dog close + UFC over/under (R 3–1 fav, 3–0 dog · O 4/7)

Finish mix

  • Pantoja sub
    24%
  • Van KO/TKO
    23%
  • Van dec
    16%
  • Pantoja KO/TKO
    15%
  • Van sub
    13%
  • Pantoja dec
    9%

DraftKings board · reference

current

Public lines for context. MMAI is not a sportsbook and does not take bets.

Moneyline

Van+100
Pantoja-120

Total rounds 4.5 · official O/U

Over 4.5-115
Under 4.5-105

Distance

Goes the distance-109
Inside the distance-177

Winning method

KO/TKO+149
Submission+304
Decision-113

Winner by method

Van KO/TKO+445
Van sub+692
Van dec+279
Pantoja KO/TKO+344
Pantoja sub+699
Pantoja dec+263

Fight ends in round

R1+531
R2+1071
R3+1071
R4+1071
R5+273

Winner Joshua Van Dog +100 · Exact Van by KO/TKO +445 · O/U Under 4.5 rounds -105

Trackable dog edges: last-3 quality · home / country tape · beats the number as a dog (3–0)

Auto desk · X wire

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No flag on this fight.

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